Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 11.200380 12.550673 14.038634 15.806785 17.859407 20.177729 23.009118
2025-11-09 9.179509 10.898703 12.935845 15.551609 18.855690 22.937081 28.433493
2025-11-16 8.023392 9.897432 12.228655 15.385573 19.617691 25.196244 33.279802
2025-11-23 7.101259 9.020860 11.500358 15.001953 19.926256 26.773097 37.326536
2025-11-30 6.486901 8.451347 11.072993 14.914694 20.553771 28.785538 42.225986
2025-12-07 5.825161 7.742162 10.367732 14.331294 20.356225 29.513509 45.211721
2025-12-14 5.227042 7.063287 9.633313 13.611559 19.841928 29.647918 47.194681
2025-12-21 4.835570 6.641561 9.223874 13.322315 19.936754 30.724755 50.906428
2025-12-28 4.911699 6.896699 9.818930 14.619484 22.699143 36.559719 64.212694
2026-01-04 4.732849 6.755485 9.798710 14.929981 23.848413 39.761485 73.175976
2026-01-11 4.414577 6.378339 9.381330 14.544849 23.740993 40.652938 77.613418
2026-01-18 4.303164 6.311819 9.446129 14.969431 25.115180 44.510746 89.168452
2026-01-25 4.062118 6.033965 9.163550 14.794600 25.415910 46.415166 97.045798
2026-02-01 3.829820 5.755811 8.861258 14.558944 25.578374 48.076802 104.807842
2026-02-08 3.634734 5.524723 8.619171 14.405961 25.877415 50.062131 113.879422
2026-02-15 3.422204 5.251476 8.285560 14.052286 25.728654 51.039622 120.555122
2026-02-22 3.273026 5.074979 8.106386 13.971815 26.130278 53.320637 131.477025
2026-03-01 3.062879 4.783446 7.706582 13.433564 25.503001 53.098849 135.068217
2026-03-08 2.848837 4.474807 7.259073 12.768952 24.536966 51.932751 135.534180
2026-03-15 2.709695 4.288817 7.021329 12.501677 24.418383 52.844655 142.854676
2026-03-22 2.788614 4.486781 7.492578 13.699502 27.739459 63.102542 184.921888
2026-03-29 2.735716 4.447342 7.520599 13.985914 28.987154 68.141391 210.875047
2026-04-05 2.603524 4.258470 7.255373 13.630640 28.651659 68.717497 219.985681